Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Lawrence Historic District Eviction Risk: High

Tract 25009250200 · Essex County, MA · pop 6,831 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 25009250200 covers part of the Downtown Lawrence Historic District area of Lawrence, MA, and scores 8.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. 47% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

8.2

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 16% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units1,831

Renter share47.6%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate11.8%

Median income$88,403

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 42.7062, -71.1840 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Lawrence Historic District scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lawrence

6.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

11.8% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$1,734 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lawrence

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lawrence

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lawrence

7.9

How Downtown Lawrence Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
50%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Lawrence Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.6%Housing insecurity
11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
24.5%Food insecurity
22.2%SNAP enrollment
12.2%Transit barriers
14.7%No health insurance
16.1%Frequent mental distress
29.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Lawrence Historic District

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. 66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Essex County average of 50.7%.

It sits 2.2 points above the Essex County average of 6.0. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.9/10. Housing insecurity runs 21.6% against 14.2% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 22.2% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #6,676 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,734, close to the Lawrence average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $88,403.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009250200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009250200?

Census tract 25009250200 in the Downtown Lawrence Historic District neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009250200?

Median gross rent is $1,734/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009250200?

11.8% of residents in tract 25009250200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,831.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009250200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 81th, minority 89th, housing 50th.

Is tract 25009250200 considered part of Downtown Lawrence Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009250200 fall within Downtown Lawrence Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009250200 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009250200 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 25009250200 scores 8.2/10, higher than the parent city of Lawrence at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.