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Neighborhood · Lawrence, MA

Downtown Lawrence Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 20,429 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 4.4–6.5

Downtown Lawrence Historic District is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Lawrence with 5 census tracts and a population of 20,429 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 62% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 39% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,415/month sits 15% lower than the Lawrence citywide average ($1,662).

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Lawrence Historic District vs Lawrence How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.8% +77%
Lawrence: 34.9%
Average gross rent
$1,415 -15%
Lawrence: $1,662
Average HH income
$56,462 -2%
Lawrence: $57,903
Poverty rate
23.1% +27%
Lawrence: 18.2%
Renter share
66.8% -7%
Lawrence: 71.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Lawrence Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 4.4–6.5

Why Downtown Lawrence Historic District scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Economic stress
23.1% below poverty line · Range 3.0–9.2 across tracts
5.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.8 across tracts
2.5
Risk score comparison

Downtown Lawrence Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown Lawrence Historic District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Downtown Lawrence : 5.65.6Downtown Lawrence NeighborhoodParent city: 6.26.2Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown Lawrence Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.1 points from 4.4 to 6.5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Downtown Lawrence Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25009251400 6.5 5,570 59% $1,367
25009251300 6.2 3,677 65% $1,539
25009251100 6.1 2,857 53% $728
25009251200 5.9 1,494 62% $1,143
25009250200 4.4 6,831 66% $1,734
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 92

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 92%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 73%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown Lawrence Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown Lawrence Historic District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Lawrence Historic District?

Downtown Lawrence Historic District scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown Lawrence Historic District compare to Lawrence overall?

Downtown Lawrence Historic District scores 0.6 points lower than Lawrence overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,415 vs $1,662.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown Lawrence Historic District?

Average gross rent in Downtown Lawrence eviction risk Historic District is $1,415/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown Lawrence Historic District residents are renters?

67% of Downtown Lawrence Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 72% in Lawrence). The neighborhood has 20,429 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown Lawrence Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Lawrence Historic District sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown Lawrence Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Lawrence Historic District is census tract 25009251400 (score 6.5/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 6.5, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown Lawrence Historic District for landlords?

Downtown Lawrence eviction risk Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lawrence as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Lawrence Historic District?

Downtown Lawrence Historic District has 20,340 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (85.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (9.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (2.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown Lawrence Historic District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lawrence

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown Lawrence Historic District.

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