Downtown Lawrence Historic District Eviction Risk: High

62% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Lawrence rate of 34.9%. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

SNAP participation is 41.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10.

18.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.9/10.

At $1,415 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Lawrence commands. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Lawrence, it ranks #3 by risk, the lower third. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 5 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.