Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Lawrence Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25009251400 · Essex County, MA · pop 5,570 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Here is how census tract 25009251400, in the Downtown Lawrence Historic District area of Lawrence eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 7.7/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 5,570. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,367 monthly, set against $52,115 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 24% Owners 41%

Tract context

Occupied units1,650

Renter share59.5%

SVI overall0.97

Poverty rate36.7%

Median income$52,115

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 42.6986, -71.1801 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Lawrence Historic District scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lawrence

6.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

36.7% poverty · this tract

9.2

Supply constraint

$1,367 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lawrence

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lawrence

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lawrence

7.9

How Downtown Lawrence Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Lawrence Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

31.1%Housing insecurity
19.5%Utility-shutoff threat
40.5%Food insecurity
42.3%SNAP enrollment
19.8%Transit barriers
21.3%No health insurance
18.9%Frequent mental distress
39.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Lawrence Historic District

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 31.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009251400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009251400?

Census tract 25009251400 in the Downtown Lawrence Historic District neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009251400?

Median gross rent is $1,367/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009251400?

36.7% of residents in tract 25009251400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,570.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009251400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 96th, minority 91th, housing 83th.

Is tract 25009251400 considered part of Downtown Lawrence Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009251400 fall within Downtown Lawrence Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009251400 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009251400 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 25009251400 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lawrence at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.