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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Lawrence Historic District Eviction Risk: High

Tract 25009251400 · Essex County, MA · pop 5,570 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

25009251400 is a census tract in the Downtown Lawrence Historic District area of Lawrence, MA. It scores 9/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 24% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,650
Renter share59.5%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate36.7%
Median income$52,115

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Downtown Lawrence Historic District
Low
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 18 tracts In Lawrence
Moderate
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 173 tracts In Essex County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#92 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lawrence and the region

Centroid at 42.6986, -71.1801 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Lawrence Historic District scores 9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lawrence
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
36.7% poverty · this tract
9.2
Supply constraint
$1,367 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lawrence
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lawrence
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lawrence
7.9

How Downtown Lawrence Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Lawrence Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.0This tracttract 2514007.6Lawrenceparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Lawrence Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Lawrence Historic District

Against the Essex County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 3.0 points. SNAP participation runs 42.3% against 15.2% nationally.

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against Essex County at 50.7%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,367 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Lawrence commands. Nationally it ranks #4,119 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009251400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009251400?

Census tract 25009251400 in the Downtown Lawrence Historic District neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25009251400?

Median gross rent is $1,367/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009251400?

36.7% of residents in tract 25009251400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,570.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009251400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 96th, minority 91th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 25009251400 considered part of Downtown Lawrence Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009251400 fall within Downtown Lawrence Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25009251400 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25009251400 compare to Lawrence overall?

Tract 25009251400 scores 9/10, higher than the parent city of Lawrence at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lawrence

Top eight tracts in Lawrence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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