Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 25013802300 · Hampden County, MA · pop 6,474 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 25013802300 sits in the Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District area of Springfield eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 36% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units2,500

Renter share69.8%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate26.7%

Median income$40,162

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.0920, -72.5559 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

26.7% poverty · this tract

6.7

Supply constraint

$1,141 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

How Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

89%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
43%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

32.4%Housing insecurity
21.5%Utility-shutoff threat
40.7%Food insecurity
47.3%SNAP enrollment
20.8%Transit barriers
16.7%No health insurance
22.8%Frequent mental distress
42.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District

Food insecurity runs 40.7% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.5/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $40,162 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013802300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013802300?

Census tract 25013802300 in the Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013802300?

Median gross rent is $1,141/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013802300?

26.7% of residents in tract 25013802300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,474.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013802300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 74th, minority 87th, housing 43th.

Is tract 25013802300 considered part of Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013802300 fall within Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013802300 struggle to pay rent?

About 32.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013802300 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013802300 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.