Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 25013801902 · Hampden County, MA · pop 3,428 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

25013801902 is a census tract in the Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District area of Springfield, MA. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,428 residents. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 36% Owners 18%

Tract context

Occupied units1,538

Renter share81.5%

SVI overall1.00

Poverty rate39.4%

Median income$22,319

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.1025, -72.5759 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

39.4% poverty · this tract

9.9

Supply constraint

$1,085 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

How Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
99%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

37.9%Housing insecurity
27.6%Utility-shutoff threat
49.4%Food insecurity
59.9%SNAP enrollment
25.9%Transit barriers
20.8%No health insurance
23.8%Frequent mental distress
50.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District

Annualized rent equals 58% of average household income of $22,319, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.9/10. Food insecurity runs 49.4% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. This is renter territory: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Disability prevalence runs 50.2% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.

Cost burden runs 56% here against 46.5% across Hampden County. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.

Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 10/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013801902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013801902?

Census tract 25013801902 in the Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013801902?

Median gross rent is $1,085/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013801902?

39.4% of residents in tract 25013801902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,428.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013801902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 99th, minority 90th, housing 97th.

Is tract 25013801902 considered part of Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013801902 fall within Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013801902 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013801902 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013801902 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.