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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 25013801901 · Hampden County, MA · pop 4,071 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 7.9/10, tract 25013801901 in the Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District area of Springfield, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,071. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 47% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,385
Renter share85.7%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate46.3%
Median income$34,288

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 37 tracts In Springfield
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Very High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#320 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.0951, -72.5714 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
46.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$855 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
7.0

How Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.9This tracttract 8019016.5Springfieldparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 56.6% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 46%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Disability prevalence runs 52.2% against 31.5% nationally. 86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.

Average gross rent is $855, 25% below the Springfield average. On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $34,288.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013801901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013801901?

Census tract 25013801901 in the Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013801901?

Median gross rent is $855/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013801901?

46.3% of residents in tract 25013801901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,071.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013801901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 99th, minority 94th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 25013801901 considered part of Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013801901 fall within Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013801901 struggle to pay rent?

About 43.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013801901 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013801901 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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