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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Northampton Downtown Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25015821904 · Hampshire County, MA · pop 3,081 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 25015821904 in the Northampton Downtown Historic District neighborhood of Northampton ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,081 residents. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,580 monthly, set against $88,917 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 24% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,621
Renter share55.6%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$88,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Northampton Downtown Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Northampton
Low
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#17 of 35 tracts In Hampshire County
Moderate
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#570 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Northampton and the region

Centroid at 42.3248, -72.6272 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northampton Downtown Historic District scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Northampton
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,580 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northampton
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northampton
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northampton
6.6

How Northampton Downtown Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northampton Downtown Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 821904Northampton: 6.16.1Northamptonparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 151Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 1.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.6%Peak (2012)
  • 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250158219042005: 16 filings (1.55/100 renter HHs)2006: 12 filings (1.16/100 renter HHs)2007: 13 filings (1.26/100 renter HHs)2008: 8 filings (0.78/100 renter HHs)2009: 14 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)2010: 7 filings (0.75/100 renter HHs)2011: 18 filings (2.20/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (2.56/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (0.98/100 renter HHs)2014: 11 filings (1.34/100 renter HHs)2015: 13 filings (1.59/100 renter HHs)2016: 10 filings (1.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northampton Downtown Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northampton Downtown Historic District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northampton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampshire County average of 4.9 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25015821904

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25015821904?

Census tract 25015821904 in the Northampton Downtown Historic District neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25015821904?

Median gross rent is $1,580/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25015821904?

10.6% of residents in tract 25015821904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,081.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25015821904?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 18th, minority 27th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 25015821904 considered part of Northampton Downtown Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25015821904 fall within Northampton Downtown Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25015821904?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 25015821904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.39% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25015821904 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25015821904 compare to Northampton overall?

Tract 25015821904 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Northampton at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Northampton

Top eight tracts in Northampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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