Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Northampton Downtown Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 25015821901 · Hampshire County, MA · pop 3,205 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
25015821901 is a census tract in the Northampton Downtown Historic District area of Northampton, MA. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,205 residents. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,334
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$80,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northampton and the region
Centroid at 42.3228, -72.6414 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northampton Downtown Historic District scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northampton
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,554 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northampton
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northampton
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northampton
6.6
How Northampton Downtown Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 57Total filings over 11 yrs
- 0.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2012)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 250% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northampton Downtown Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 2.9%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 22.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northampton Downtown Historic District
The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 0.6/10. Against Hampshire County at 46.3%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 57 evictions over 11 years of observation.
Adults with no health insurance runs 2.9% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Hampshire County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 1.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #16,032 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25015821901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25015821901?
Census tract 25015821901 in the Northampton Downtown Historic District neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25015821901?
Median gross rent is $1,554/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25015821901?
8.8% of residents in tract 25015821901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,205.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25015821901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 20th, minority 21th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 25015821901 considered part of Northampton Downtown Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25015821901 fall within Northampton Downtown Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25015821901?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 57 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 25015821901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.80% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25015821901 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25015821901 compare to Northampton overall?
Tract 25015821901 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Northampton at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northampton
Top eight tracts in Northampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Fort Hill Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Florence
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
25015821601
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Pathways Cohousing
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Northampton Downtown Historic District
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Northampton Downtown Historic District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Leeds
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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