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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Northampton Downtown Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25015822000 · Hampshire County, MA · pop 2,155 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

How risky is the Northampton Downtown Historic District neighborhood of Northampton for landlords? Census tract 25015822000 scores 5.5/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 57% of US census tracts.

About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,516 a month while the average household earns $93,889 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 81% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 30% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units108
Renter share80.6%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$93,889

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Northampton Downtown Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 8 tracts In Northampton
Very Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 35 tracts In Hampshire County
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#570 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Northampton and the region

Centroid at 42.3184, -72.6391 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northampton Downtown Historic District scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Northampton
7.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,516 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northampton
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northampton
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northampton
6.6

How Northampton Downtown Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northampton Downtown Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 822000Northampton: 6.16.1Northamptonparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 21

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 13Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 2.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.8%Peak (2008)
  • 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250158220002005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 1 filings (1.25/100 renter HHs)2008: 3 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 1 filings (1.35/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 3 filings (4.05/100 renter HHs)2014: 2 filings (2.70/100 renter HHs)2015: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 3 filings (2.70/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northampton Downtown Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northampton Downtown Historic District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northampton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampshire County average of 4.9 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 13 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 2.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.8% of renter households in 2008.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25015822000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25015822000?

Census tract 25015822000 in the Northampton Downtown Historic District neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25015822000?

Median gross rent is $1,516/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25015822000?

11.2% of residents in tract 25015822000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,155.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25015822000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 1th, minority 55th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 25015822000 considered part of Northampton Downtown Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25015822000 fall within Northampton Downtown Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25015822000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 25015822000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.63% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25015822000 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25015822000 compare to Northampton overall?

Tract 25015822000 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Northampton at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Northampton

Top eight tracts in Northampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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