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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,599 of 84,120 nationally

Spring Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Somerville

Tract 25017351001 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,956 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

For landlords sizing up Spring Hill in Somerville, census tract 25017351001 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. On the national scale it ranks #29,697 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 39% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,513 a month while the average household earns $139,506 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 38% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,887
Renter share61.7%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$139,506

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 2 tracts In Spring Hill
Very High
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileBottomTop
#18 of 25 tracts In Somerville
Low
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileBottomTop
#336 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileBottomTop
#1,562 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Somerville and the region

Centroid at 42.3873, -71.1137 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spring Hill scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,513 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0

How Spring Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Spring Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 351001Somerville: 4.64.6Somervilleparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.16.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Spring Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spring Hill

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Somerville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 20% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017351001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017351001?

Census tract 25017351001 in the Spring Hill neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017351001?

Median gross rent is $2,513/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017351001?

7.9% of residents in tract 25017351001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,956.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017351001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 1th, minority 39th, housing 28th.

Q5

Is tract 25017351001 considered part of Spring Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017351001 fall within Spring Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25017351001 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

Q7

What share of households in tract 25017351001 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 25017351001 compare to Somerville overall?

Tract 25017351001 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Somerville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 25017351001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Somerville

Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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