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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Spring Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Somerville

Tract 25017351002 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 2,701 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 25017351002 sits in the Spring Hill area of Somerville eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. Population here is 2,701. 25% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Middlesex County average of 43.0%.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 51% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,196
Renter share68.5%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$149,337

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Spring Hill
Very Low
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 25 tracts In Somerville
Very Low
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#115 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#479 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Somerville and the region

Centroid at 42.3917, -71.1114 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spring Hill scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,372 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0

How Spring Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Spring Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 3510027.9Somervilleparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Spring Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spring Hill

The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 7.0% against 17.8% nationally. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017351002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017351002?

Census tract 25017351002 in the Spring Hill neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017351002?

Median gross rent is $2,372/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017351002?

5.8% of residents in tract 25017351002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,701.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017351002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 5th, minority 50th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 25017351002 considered part of Spring Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017351002 fall within Spring Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25017351002 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017351002 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25017351002 compare to Somerville overall?

Tract 25017351002 scores 7.3/10, lower than the parent city of Somerville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25017351002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Somerville

Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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