Neighborhood · Ranked #45,599 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25017350202 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,292 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 25017350202, home to 4,292 residents in Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts in Somerville, scores 5.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,344 a month against an average household income of $129,826 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 34% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units1,633

Renter share50.1%

SVI overall0.30

Poverty rate5.6%

Median income$129,826

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Somerville and the region

Centroid at 42.3923, -71.0989 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Somerville

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

5.6% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$2,344 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Somerville

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Somerville

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Somerville

8.0

How Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

11%Socioeconomic
28%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.7%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
9.2%Food insecurity
9.9%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
4.2%No health insurance
16.7%Frequent mental distress
21.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Somerville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017350202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017350202?

Census tract 25017350202 in the Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25017350202?

Median gross rent is $2,344/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017350202?

5.6% of residents in tract 25017350202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,292.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017350202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 28th, minority 49th, housing 67th.

Is tract 25017350202 considered part of Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017350202 fall within Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

Did eviction filings in tract 25017350202 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 25017350202 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25017350202 compare to Somerville overall?

Tract 25017350202 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Somerville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25017350202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Somerville

Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.