Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 25017350201 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,216 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 25017350201 sits in the Winter Hill, Somerville eviction risk, Massachusetts eviction laws area of Somerville eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. It is home to 3,216 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,288
Renter share59.7%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate11.1%
Median income$130,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Somerville and the region
Centroid at 42.3894, -71.0926 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Somerville
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
11.1% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,352 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Somerville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Somerville
8.0
How Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 98%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 14.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts
It sits 1.6 points above the Middlesex County average of 6.3. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.
Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Middlesex County average of 43.0%.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $2,352, close to the Somerville average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $130,000.
60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017350201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017350201?
Census tract 25017350201 in the Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017350201?
Median gross rent is $2,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017350201?
11.1% of residents in tract 25017350201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,216.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017350201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 17th, minority 59th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 25017350201 considered part of Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017350201 fall within Winter Hill, Somerville, Massachusetts (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25017350201 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017350201 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017350201 compare to Somerville overall?
Tract 25017350201 scores 7.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Somerville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Somerville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25017350201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Somerville
Top eight tracts in Somerville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Winter Hill
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brickbottom
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
West Somerville
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
East Somerville
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Magoun Square
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Teele Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
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