3 census tracts · pop 14,326 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.3/10
· range 7.1–9.5
Ashmont spans 3 census tracts of Boston, MA, population 14,326. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8.3/10, in the High tier. Against a Boston baseline of 30.6%, 56% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The severe-burden share is 36%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 7.1 to 9.5, a 2.4-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 25.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 17.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Court records carry 955 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.
The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 9.2% of renter households. At $1,965 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Boston commands.
Among the 57 mapped neighborhoods of Boston, it ranks #21 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 3.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
8.3
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Ashmont vs BostonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport79%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Ashmont
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
955Total filings (sum)
6.81%Avg annual filing rate
9.2%Peak year (2016)
6.80%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
402Total filings 2020-21
2.9Avg monthly observed
5.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Ashmont
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
25.6%Housing insecurity
17.8%Utility shutoff threat
28.9%Food insecurity
35.0%SNAP enrollment
7.7%No health insurance
32.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Ashmont
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Ashmont?
Ashmont scores 8.3/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Ashmont compare to Boston overall?
Ashmont scores 0.2 points higher than Boston overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,965 vs $2,147.
Q3
What is the average rent in Ashmont?
Average gross rent in Ashmont is $1,965/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Ashmont residents are renters?
59% of Ashmont households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 14,326 residents.
Q5
Is Ashmont a high social-vulnerability area?
Ashmont sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Ashmont have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Ashmont is census tract 25025101102 (score 9.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.1 to 9.5, a spread of 2.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Ashmont for landlords?
Ashmont carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Ashmont?
Ashmont has 13,762 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (65.4%), Hispanic / Latino (18.5%), Other / Multiracial (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
