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Neighborhood · Boston, MA

The Flats Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 10,306 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.7–5.9

The Flats is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Boston with 2 census tracts and a population of 10,306 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 53% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,079/month sits 3% lower than the Boston citywide average ($2,147).

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
The Flats vs Boston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.1% +74%
Boston: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$2,079 -3%
Boston: $2,147
Average HH income
$92,512 -2%
Boston: $94,755
Poverty rate
19.3% +14%
Boston: 16.9%
Renter share
72.4% +13%
Boston: 64.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Flats and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.7–5.9

Why The Flats scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
72% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
19.3% below poverty line · Range 4.7–4.9 across tracts
4.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.5 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

The Flats vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Flats score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Flats: 5.85.8The FlatsNeighborhoodParent city: 7.17.1Parent cityhost cityState: 6.26.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in The Flats

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025050700 5.9 4,906 56% $2,120
25025050200 5.7 5,400 51% $2,041
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 89%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 52%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 69%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Flats

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 299Total filings (sum)
  • 2.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak year (2014)
  • 2.22%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 131Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly observed
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.57×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Flats

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Flats

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Flats?

The Flats scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Flats compare to Boston overall?

The Flats scores 1.3 points lower than Boston overall (7.1/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,079 vs $2,147.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Flats?

Average gross rent in The Flats is $2,079/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Flats residents are renters?

72% of The Flats households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 10,306 residents.
Q5

Is The Flats a high social-vulnerability area?

The Flats sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Flats have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Flats is census tract 25025050700 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.7 to 5.9, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is The Flats for landlords?

The Flats carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (7.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Flats?

The Flats has 10,335 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (62.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (26.4%), Other / Multiracial (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Flats

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Boston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Flats.

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