Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

Church Green Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

Tract 25025070103 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 782 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 7.4/10, tract 25025070103 in the Church Green area of Boston, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Suffolk County average of 47.0%.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 56% Stable renters 31% Owners 13%
Tract context
Occupied units288
Renter share86.5%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$95,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Church Green
Moderate
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#127 of 206 tracts In Boston
Low
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#135 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Moderate
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#457 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3479, -71.0598 · click any tract to drill in

Why Church Green scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$3,054 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Church Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Church Green risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.4This tracttract 0701038.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 11Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.76×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Church Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Church Green

Average gross rent is $3,054, 42% above the Boston average. This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $95,000, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 16.3% against 31.5% nationally. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025070103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070103?

Census tract 25025070103 in the Church Green neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025070103?

Median gross rent is $3,054/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070103?

7.3% of residents in tract 25025070103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 782.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 48th, minority 80th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 25025070103 considered part of Church Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070103 fall within Church Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25025070103 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25025070103 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25025070103 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025070103 scores 7.4/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25025070103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 27% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related