Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Church Green Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston

Tract 25025070104 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,550 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 25025070104 sits in the Church Green area of Boston eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.7/10. Population here is 2,550. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 17% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,289
Renter share41.2%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate23.3%
Median income$214,097

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Church Green
Elevated
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#112 of 206 tracts In Boston
Moderate
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#123 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Moderate
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#377 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3523, -71.0563 · click any tract to drill in

Why Church Green scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
23.3% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Church Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Church Green risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 0701048.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 16Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.21×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Church Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Church Green

Average gross rent is $3,501, 63% above the Boston average. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Suffolk County average of 47.0%. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The voucher gap is 23.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.1% against 11.3% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025070104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070104?

Census tract 25025070104 in the Church Green neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025070104?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070104?

23.3% of residents in tract 25025070104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,550.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 3th, minority 53th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 25025070104 considered part of Church Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070104 fall within Church Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25025070104 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.21× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25025070104 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25025070104 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025070104 scores 7.7/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25025070104 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related