Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Church Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Boston
Tract 25025070104 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,550 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Church Green neighborhood of Boston is where census tract 25025070104 sits, home to 2,550 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.4/10. It lands near the 98th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,501 a month against an average household income of $214,097 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,289
Renter share41.2%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate23.3%
Median income$214,097
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3523, -71.0563 · click any tract to drill in
Why Church Green scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
23.3% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Church Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 16Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.21×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Church Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 3.1%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 20.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Church Green
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.21x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025070104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070104?
Census tract 25025070104 in the Church Green neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025070104?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070104?
23.3% of residents in tract 25025070104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,550.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 3th, minority 53th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 25025070104 considered part of Church Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070104 fall within Church Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25025070104 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.21× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25025070104 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25025070104 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025070104 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25025070104 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Mount Bowdoin
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Dorchester Heights
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
7.6
/ 10 · High
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