Church Green Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025070104 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,550 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 25025070104 sits in the Church Green area of Boston eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.7/10. Population here is 2,550. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3523, -71.0563 · click any tract to drill in
Why Church Green scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Church Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 16Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.21×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Church Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 3.1%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 20.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Church Green
Average gross rent is $3,501, 63% above the Boston average. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Suffolk County average of 47.0%. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The voucher gap is 23.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.
The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.1% against 11.3% nationally.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 25025070104
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070104?
What is the average rent in tract 25025070104?
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070104?
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070104?
Is tract 25025070104 considered part of Church Green?
Did eviction filings in tract 25025070104 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 25025070104 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 25025070104 compare to Boston overall?
Was tract 25025070104 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.