Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Church Green Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025061204 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 918 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 6.7/10, tract 25025061204 in the Church Green area of Boston, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 918 residents. Cost burden runs 21% here against 47.0% across Suffolk County.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 50%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units644
Renter share62.9%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$166,692
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3457, -71.0533 · click any tract to drill in
Why Church Green scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Church Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 0%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 17Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Church Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.0%Food insecurity
- 4.0%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 1.9%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 13.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Church Green
Average gross rent is $3,501, 63% above the Boston average. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Disability prevalence runs 13.9% against 31.5% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The voucher gap is 23.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Housing insecurity runs 5.2% against 14.2% nationally.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025061204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025061204?
Census tract 25025061204 in the Church Green neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025061204?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025061204?
3.5% of residents in tract 25025061204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 918.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025061204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 1th, minority 15th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 25025061204 considered part of Church Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025061204 fall within Church Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25025061204 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25025061204 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25025061204 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025061204 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25025061204 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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/ 10 · Very High
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/ 10 · Very High
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/ 10 · Very High
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/ 10 · Very High
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9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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/ 10 · Very High
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Uphams Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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9.5
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