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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Church Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Boston

Tract 25025061204 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 918 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Church Green in Boston anchors census tract 25025061204, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #21,135 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

21% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,501 monthly, set against $166,692 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 50% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units644
Renter share62.9%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$166,692

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Church Green
Low
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#168 of 206 tracts In Boston
Very Low
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#185 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Low
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#512 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3457, -71.0533 · click any tract to drill in

Why Church Green scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Church Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Church Green risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 061204Boston: 7.17.1Bostonparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 17Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Church Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Church Green

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025061204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025061204?

Census tract 25025061204 in the Church Green neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025061204?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025061204?

3.5% of residents in tract 25025061204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 918.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025061204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 1th, minority 15th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 25025061204 considered part of Church Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025061204 fall within Church Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25025061204 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25025061204 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25025061204 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025061204 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25025061204 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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