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Neighborhood · Boston, MA

Audubon Circle Eviction Risk: High

9 census tracts · pop 27,243 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9/10 · range 6.7–9.5

Audubon Circle spans 9 census tracts of Boston, MA, population 27,243. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9/10, placing it in the High tier. 51% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Boston rate of 30.6%.

The severe-burden share is 32%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 84% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The 9 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.7 to 9.5, a 2.8-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Set annual rent against average household income of $79,354 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. Filings are well documented here: 191 across 6 observed tracts.

Average gross rent is $2,415, 12% above the Boston average of $2,147. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 2.0% of renter households. 4.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

The most recent observed rate, 0.7% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9
High
9 tracts · population-weighted
Audubon Circle vs Boston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.2% +67%
Boston: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$2,415 +12%
Boston: $2,147
Average HH income
$79,354 -16%
Boston: $94,755
Poverty rate
24.0% +42%
Boston: 16.9%
Renter share
83.9% +30%
Boston: 64.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Audubon Circle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 6.7–9.5

Why Audubon Circle scores 9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
84% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
24.0% below poverty line · Range 1.6–8.7 across tracts
6.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–5.0 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Audubon Circle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Audubon Circle score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.0Audubon CircleNeighborhood8.1Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Audubon Circle?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.8 points from 6.7 to 9.5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

9 tracts in Audubon Circle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25025010104 9.5 4,791 45% $2,554
25025010103 9.5 3,397 71% $2,399
25025010204 9.5 3,354 56% $2,267
25025010206 9.5 2,218 63% $2,597
25025010408 9.5 1,349 66% $2,331
25025010205 9.2 4,036 49% $2,392
25025010300 8.7 4,769 44% $2,079
25025981501 8 13 , ,
25025010802 6.7 3,316 35% $2,815
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 52%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Audubon Circle

Aggregated across 6 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 191Total filings (sum)
  • 0.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.0%Peak year (2014)
  • 0.63%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 182Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly observed
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.01×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Audubon Circle

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Audubon Circle

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Audubon Circle?

Audubon Circle scores 9/10 (High tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Audubon Circle compare to Boston overall?

Audubon Circle scores 0.9 points higher than Boston overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,415 vs $2,147.
Q3

What is the average rent in Audubon Circle?

Average gross rent in Audubon Circle is $2,415/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Audubon Circle residents are renters?

84% of Audubon Circle households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 27,243 residents.
Q5

Is Audubon Circle a high social-vulnerability area?

Audubon Circle sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Audubon Circle have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Audubon Circle is census tract 25025010104 (score 9.5/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 9.5, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Audubon Circle for landlords?

Audubon Circle carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Audubon Circle?

Audubon Circle has 26,891 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.1%), Hispanic / Latino (12%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Audubon Circle

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Boston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Audubon Circle.

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