Neighborhood · Boston, MA

Bulfinch Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate

9 census tracts · pop 21,559 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4–5.2

Bulfinch Triangle is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Boston with 9 census tracts and a population of 21,559 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 40% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,395/month sits 12% higher than the Boston citywide average ($2,147).

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

9 tracts · population-weighted

Bulfinch Triangle vs Boston How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

39.5% +29%

Boston: 30.6%

Average gross rent

$2,395 +12%

Boston: $2,147

Average HH income

$141,096 +49%

Boston: $94,755

Poverty rate

10.8% -36%

Boston: 16.9%

Renter share

70.2% +9%

Boston: 64.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bulfinch Triangle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 4–5.2

Why Bulfinch Triangle scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts

8.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Rent control risk

40% of income on rent · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

70% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Economic stress

10.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–5.2 across tracts

2.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–7.3 across tracts

4.0

Risk score comparison

Bulfinch Triangle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Bulfinch Triangle?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.2 points from 4 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.2 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.5 4.0 4.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

9 tracts in Bulfinch Triangle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
25025040200	5.2	1,679	42%	$650
25025030100	5.1	2,188	41%	$2,536
25025020301	4.9	2,356	47%	$3,288
25025020200	4.8	3,132	43%	$2,326
25025030200	4.8	1,591	30%	$2,362
25025020304	4.8	1,200	44%	$3,501
25025020305	4.5	3,950	48%	$3,247
25025040401	4	2,872	34%	$1,154
25025040100	4	2,591	23%	$2,259

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 21%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 70%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bulfinch Triangle

Aggregated across 7 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

435Total filings (sum)
1.64%Avg annual filing rate
6.8%Peak year (2015)
1.65%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

286Total filings 2020-21
0.8Avg monthly observed
1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
0.70×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bulfinch Triangle

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.5%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility shutoff threat
8.4%Food insecurity
9.1%SNAP enrollment
3.4%No health insurance
18.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Bulfinch Triangle

What is the eviction-risk score for Bulfinch Triangle?

Bulfinch Triangle scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 9 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bulfinch Triangle compare to Boston overall?

Bulfinch Triangle scores 2.5 points lower than Boston overall (7.1/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,395 vs $2,147.

What is the average rent in Bulfinch Triangle?

Average gross rent in Bulfinch Triangle is $2,395/month (pop-weighted across 9 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bulfinch Triangle residents are renters?

70% of Bulfinch Triangle households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Boston). The neighborhood has 21,559 residents.

Is Bulfinch Triangle a high social-vulnerability area?

Bulfinch Triangle sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Bulfinch Triangle have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bulfinch Triangle is census tract 25025040200 (score 5.2/10). Across the 9 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 5.2, a spread of 1.2 points.

How safe is Bulfinch Triangle for landlords?

Bulfinch Triangle carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 9 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Boston as a whole (7.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bulfinch Triangle?

Bulfinch Triangle has 21,785 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.7%), Hispanic / Latino (9.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bulfinch Triangle

4.5 Dock Square 2 tracts · pop 6,077 5.2 Downtown Crossing 9 tracts · pop 20,283 4.4 Waterfront 4 tracts · pop 9,620 5.5 Gove Street 4 tracts · pop 10,305 5.5 Church Green 6 tracts · pop 13,802 5 Jeffries Point 2 tracts · pop 3,273

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Boston

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bulfinch Triangle.

4.6 Fairmount 2 tracts · pop 14,049 4.6 Mount Hope 5 tracts · pop 17,652 4.6 Dock Square 2 tracts · pop 6,077 4.5 Waterfront 4 tracts · pop 9,620 4.7 Oak Square 3 tracts · pop 10,325 4.7 Jeffries Point 2 tracts · pop 3,273

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