Bulfinch Triangle Eviction Risk: Elevated
9 census tracts · pop 21,559 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.7–7.5
Bulfinch Triangle takes in 9 census tracts of Boston, MA, population 21,559. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6.9/10, Elevated tier. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.
70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Cost burden runs 40% against 30.6% citywide, putting Bulfinch Triangle 8.9% over its own city. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10.
Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. Court records carry 435 eviction filings across its 7 observed tracts.
Disability prevalence reaches 19.0% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. 3.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.
The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 6.8% of renter households. At $2,395 a month, rents sit 12% over what the rest of Boston commands.
The most recent observed rate, 1.7% in 2016, is well off that peak.
With little internal variation, 6.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Risk heat across Bulfinch Triangle and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 9 tracts span score 6.7–7.5
Why Bulfinch Triangle scores 6.9
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendlyBulfinch Triangle vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Bulfinch Triangle?
Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.
9 tracts in Bulfinch Triangle
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25025040200 | 7.5 | 1,679 | 42% | $650 |
| 25025030100 | 7.4 | 2,188 | 41% | $2,536 |
| 25025020301 | 7.1 | 2,356 | 47% | $3,288 |
| 25025030200 | 7 | 1,591 | 30% | $2,362 |
| 25025020200 | 6.9 | 3,132 | 43% | $2,326 |
| 25025020304 | 6.9 | 1,200 | 44% | $3,501 |
| 25025020305 | 6.7 | 3,950 | 48% | $3,247 |
| 25025040401 | 6.7 | 2,872 | 34% | $1,154 |
| 25025040100 | 6.7 | 2,591 | 23% | $2,259 |
CDC SVI percentile: 31
Pop-weighted across 9 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Court-record eviction history in Bulfinch Triangle
Aggregated across 7 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 435Total filings (sum)
- 1.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.8%Peak year (2015)
- 1.65%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 286Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly observed
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston, MA).
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bulfinch Triangle
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility shutoff threat
- 8.4%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 3.4%No health insurance
- 18.9%Any disability
About Bulfinch Triangle
How does Bulfinch Triangle compare to Boston overall?
What is the average rent in Bulfinch Triangle?
What percentage of Bulfinch Triangle residents are renters?
Is Bulfinch Triangle a high social-vulnerability area?
Which tracts in Bulfinch Triangle have the highest eviction risk?
How safe is Bulfinch Triangle for landlords?
What is the demographic breakdown of Bulfinch Triangle?
Other neighborhoods near Bulfinch Triangle
Other neighborhoods inside Boston
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bulfinch Triangle.