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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Providence Street Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Worcester

Tract 25027732400 · Worcester County, MA · pop 7,899 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 25027732400 sits in the Providence Street Historic District area of Worcester eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 7,899 residents. SNAP participation runs 35.9% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 43% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,579
Renter share77.9%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$68,682

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Providence Street Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Elevated
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2524, -71.7891 · click any tract to drill in

Why Providence Street Historic District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,631 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Providence Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Providence Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 732400Worcester: 6.66.6Worcesterparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 126Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 7.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2015)
  • 126Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Providence Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Providence Street Historic District

Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Housing insecurity runs 24.9% against 14.2% nationally.

The dominant input is local political climate at 7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. Court records carry 126 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. At $1,631 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Worcester commands. The worst year on record was 2015, when 7.1% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027732400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027732400?

Census tract 25027732400 in the Providence Street Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027732400?

Median gross rent is $1,631/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027732400?

21.2% of residents in tract 25027732400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,899.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027732400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 84th, minority 80th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 25027732400 considered part of Providence Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027732400 fall within Providence Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027732400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 126 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027732400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.07% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027732400 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027732400 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027732400 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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