Webster Square Eviction Risk: High , Worcester

24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $50,662, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2.5/10.

Housing insecurity runs 25.5% against 14.2% nationally. Against Worcester County at 44.4%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.1/10.

The filing record is not thin: 48 evictions over 1 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10. The worst year on record was 2015, when 8.0% of renter households were served.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.