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Census Tract · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Worcester Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25027730300 · Worcester County, MA · pop 5,450

25027730300 is a census tract in Worcester, MA. It scores 6.5/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 30% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,066
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$104,211

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Low
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#709 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,451 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.3083, -71.7944 · click any tract to drill in

Why Worcester scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,447 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Worcester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Worcester risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.56.5This tracttract 730300Worcester: 6.66.6Worcesterparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 41Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2015)
  • 41Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Worcester

35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Worcester County average of 44.4%. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.7/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. Court records carry 41 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10. It sits 0.7 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 4.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 4.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $104,211, annual rent is just 17%.

Average gross rent is $1,447, close to the Worcester average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027730300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027730300?

Census tract 25027730300 in Worcester scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027730300?

Median gross rent is $1,447/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027730300?

10.7% of residents in tract 25027730300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,450.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027730300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 35th, minority 49th, housing 54th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027730300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027730300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.66% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25027730300 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25027730300 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027730300 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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