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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: High , Milford

Tract 25027731900 · Worcester County, MA · pop 6,027 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 8/10, tract 25027731900 in the Lincoln Square area of Worcester, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 39% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units2,410
Renter share82.9%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate23.1%
Median income$50,174

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Lincoln Square
High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 46 tracts In Milford
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Milford and the region

Centroid at 42.2775, -71.7916 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Square scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Milford
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
23.1% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,494 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milford
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milford
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milford
7.0

How Lincoln Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lincoln Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 731900Milford: 6.26.2Milfordparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 130Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 8.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.8%Peak (2015)
  • 130Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square

It sits 2.2 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $50,174 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Cost burden runs 53% here against 44.4% across Worcester County.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 7/10.

Housing insecurity runs 23.7% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.

The filing record is not thin: 130 evictions over 1 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 8.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.8% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027731900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731900?

Census tract 25027731900 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027731900?

Median gross rent is $1,494/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731900?

23.1% of residents in tract 25027731900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,027.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 97th, minority 79th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 25027731900 considered part of Lincoln Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731900 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027731900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027731900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.75% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027731900 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027731900 compare to Milford overall?

Tract 25027731900 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Milford at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Milford

Top eight tracts in Milford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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