Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: High , Milford
Tract 25027731900 · Worcester County, MA · pop 6,027 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 25027731900 in the Lincoln Square area of Worcester, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Milford and the region
Centroid at 42.2775, -71.7916 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lincoln Square scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Lincoln Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 130Total filings over 1 yrs
- 8.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2015)
- 130Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.7%Housing insecurity
- 16.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.9%Food insecurity
- 35.1%SNAP enrollment
- 16.1%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 21.0%Frequent mental distress
- 34.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square
It sits 2.2 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Set annual rent against average income of $50,174 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Cost burden runs 53% here against 44.4% across Worcester County.
The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 7/10.
Housing insecurity runs 23.7% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.
The filing record is not thin: 130 evictions over 1 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 8.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.8% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 25027731900
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731900?
What is the average rent in tract 25027731900?
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731900?
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731900?
Is tract 25027731900 considered part of Lincoln Square?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027731900?
What share of households in tract 25027731900 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 25027731900 compare to Milford overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Milford
Top eight tracts in Milford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.