Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally

Lincoln Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Milford

Tract 25027731802 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,254 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 25027731802 runs through the Lincoln Square area of Milford. With 4,254 residents, it scores 7.2/10 for landlords. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

65% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,167 a month while the average household earns $32,155 a year, roughly 44% of income at the averages. Renters make up 79% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 28% Owners 21%

Tract context

Occupied units1,702

Renter share79.3%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate38.1%

Median income$32,155

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Milford and the region

Centroid at 42.2681, -71.7920 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lincoln Square scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Milford

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

38.1% poverty · this tract

9.5

Supply constraint

$1,167 rent vs county FMR

1.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Milford

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Milford

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Milford

7.0

How Lincoln Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
73%Racial/ethnic minority
68%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lincoln Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

31.4%Housing insecurity
22.7%Utility-shutoff threat
42.2%Food insecurity
49.9%SNAP enrollment
22.1%Transit barriers
16.6%No health insurance
23.6%Frequent mental distress
43.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lincoln Square

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Milford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 31.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027731802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731802?

Census tract 25027731802 in the Lincoln Square neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25027731802?

Median gross rent is $1,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731802?

38.1% of residents in tract 25027731802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,254.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 98th, minority 73th, housing 68th.

Is tract 25027731802 considered part of Lincoln Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731802 fall within Lincoln Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25027731802 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25027731802 compare to Milford overall?

Tract 25027731802 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Milford at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Milford

Top eight tracts in Milford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.