1 census tracts · pop 3,370 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10
· range 5.4–5.4
Pine Trail is a one-tract neighborhood of Rochester Hills, MI and houses 3,370 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, Moderate tier. What pushes the score up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
The voucher gap is 54.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs 38% against 27.0% citywide, putting Pine Trail 10.6% over its own city.
Average gross rent is $2,127, 29% above the Rochester Hills average of $1,644. 17% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10. That places it #1 of 20 neighborhoods in Rochester Hills. The closest comparables inside the same city are Meadowbrook and Auburn Highlands.
39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Pine Trail vs Rochester HillsHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pine Trail
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
13.7%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility shutoff threat
18.7%Food insecurity
16.9%SNAP enrollment
8.6%No health insurance
28.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Pine Trail
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Pine Trail?
Pine Trail scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Pine Trail compare to Rochester Hills overall?
Pine Trail scores 1.4 points higher than Rochester Hills overall (4/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,127 vs $1,644.
Q3
What is the average rent in Pine Trail?
Average gross rent in Pine Trail is $2,127/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Pine Trail residents are renters?
39% of Pine Trail households are renter-occupied (vs 23% in Rochester Hills). The neighborhood has 3,370 residents.
Q5
Is Pine Trail a high social-vulnerability area?
Pine Trail sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Pine Trail for landlords?
Pine Trail carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rochester Hills as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Pine Trail?
Pine Trail has 3,583 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.3%), Hispanic / Latino (10.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
