Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Pine Trail Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rochester Hills
Tract 26125193500 ·
Oakland County, MI · pop 3,370 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 26125193500 in the Pine Trail area of Rochester Hills, MI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,370 residents. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%Stable renters 25%Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,343
Renter share39.4%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate22.7%
Median income$67,466
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Pine Trail
Moderate
Within parent city
95th percentile
#2 of 20 tracts In Rochester Hills
Very High
Within county
86th percentile
#51 of 350 tracts In Oakland County
High
Within state
82th percentile
#527 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rochester Hills and the region
Centroid at 42.6647, -83.1072 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pine Trail scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rochester Hills
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
22.7% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$2,127 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rochester Hills
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rochester Hills
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rochester Hills
3.8
How Pine Trail compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
51%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.7%Housing insecurity
10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
18.7%Food insecurity
16.9%SNAP enrollment
9.7%Transit barriers
8.6%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pine Trail
The voucher gap is 54.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $67,466 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. At $2,127 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of Rochester Hills commands.
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Oakland County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
38% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 26125193500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26125193500?
Census tract 26125193500 in the Pine Trail neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26125193500?
Median gross rent is $2,127/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26125193500?
22.7% of residents in tract 26125193500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,370.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26125193500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 44th, minority 40th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 26125193500 considered part of Pine Trail?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26125193500 fall within Pine Trail (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 26125193500 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 26125193500 compare to Rochester Hills overall?
Tract 26125193500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rochester Hills at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rochester Hills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rochester Hills
Top eight tracts in Rochester Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.