Neighborhood · Royal Oak, MI

Lower Rail District Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,711 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Lower Rail District is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Royal Oak with 1 census tract and a population of 3,711 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 30% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 9% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,205/month sits 13% lower than the Royal Oak citywide median ($1,381).

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Lower Rail District vs Royal Oak How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

30.3% +31%

Royal Oak: 23.1%

Average gross rent

$1,205 -13%

Royal Oak: $1,381

Average HH income

$76,292 -20%

Royal Oak: $95,182

Poverty rate

7.6% +28%

Royal Oak: 6.0%

Renter share

51.4% +61%

Royal Oak: 32.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Rail District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Lower Rail District scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Rent control risk

30% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts

3.4

Tenant organizing strength

51% renter households · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts

7.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

7.6% below poverty line · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts

1.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts

3.7

Risk score comparison

Lower Rail District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Lower Rail District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
26125183000	5.4	3,711	30%	$1,205

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 12%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 71%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Rail District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.9%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility shutoff threat
11.0%Food insecurity
8.7%SNAP enrollment
5.9%No health insurance
22.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Lower Rail District

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Rail District?

Lower Rail District scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Lower Rail District compare to Royal Oak overall?

Lower Rail District scores 0.6 points lower than Royal Oak overall (6.0/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Median rent: $1,205 vs $1,381.

What is the average rent in Lower Rail District?

Median gross rent in Lower Rail District is $1,205/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Lower Rail District residents are renters?

51% of Lower Rail District households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Royal Oak). The neighborhood has 3,711 residents.

Is Lower Rail District a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower Rail District sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Lower Rail District for landlords?

Lower Rail District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Royal Oak as a whole (6.0/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Rail District?

Lower Rail District has 3,809 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.1%), Other / Multiracial (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower Rail District

5.6 Kenning 2 tracts · pop 5,455 6.0 Pembroke 8 tracts · pop 20,171 4.7 Pierce 2 tracts · pop 7,200 6.0 Lincoln Hills 2 tracts · pop 6,149 5.0 Charing Cross 3 tracts · pop 9,776 5.6 Grandview 2 tracts · pop 10,977

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Royal Oak

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower Rail District.

5.6 Kenning 2 tracts · pop 5,455

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