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Neighborhood · Royal Oak, MI

Lower Rail District Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,711 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 4.6–4.6

Lower Rail District maps to a single census tract in Royal Oak, MI and houses 3,711 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.9/10.

Against a Royal Oak baseline of 23.1%, around a third of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.1/10.

The severe-burden share is 9%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Average gross rent is $1,205, 13% below the Royal Oak average of $1,381. Against average income of $76,292, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.

51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Rail District vs Royal Oak How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.3% +31%
Royal Oak: 23.1%
Average gross rent
$1,205 -13%
Royal Oak: $1,381
Average HH income
$76,292 -20%
Royal Oak: $95,182
Poverty rate
7.6% +28%
Royal Oak: 6.0%
Renter share
51.4% +61%
Royal Oak: 32.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Rail District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.6–4.6

Why Lower Rail District scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
51% renter households · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
7.6% below poverty line · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

Lower Rail District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lower Rail District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.6Lower Rail DistricNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lower Rail District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
26125183000 4.6 3,711 30% $1,205
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 12%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 71%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Rail District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lower Rail District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Rail District?

Lower Rail District scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lower Rail District compare to Royal Oak overall?

Lower Rail District scores 0.6 points higher than Royal Oak overall (4/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $1,205 vs $1,381.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lower Rail District?

Average gross rent in Lower Rail District is $1,205/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lower Rail District residents are renters?

51% of Lower Rail District households are renter-occupied (vs 32% in Royal Oak). The neighborhood has 3,711 residents.
Q5

Is Lower Rail District a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower Rail District sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lower Rail District for landlords?

Lower Rail District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Royal Oak as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Rail District?

Lower Rail District has 3,809 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (78.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.1%), Other / Multiracial (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower Rail District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Royal Oak

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower Rail District.

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