Northmoor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Saginaw

The dominant input is housing-court posture at 9.1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9/10. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10. Against the Saginaw County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Disability prevalence runs 44.9% against 31.5% nationally. Average gross rent is $829, 10% below the Saginaw average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.