Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Northmoor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Saginaw

Tract 26145001900 · Saginaw County, MI · pop 1,640 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 7.1/10, tract 26145001900 in the Northmoor neighborhood of Saginaw ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,640 residents. That is riskier than about 96% of US census tracts.

About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $829 a month against an average household income of $32,781 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 23% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units731

Renter share43.9%

SVI overall0.78

Poverty rate31.7%

Median income$32,781

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saginaw and the region

Centroid at 43.4402, -83.9502 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northmoor scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Saginaw

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

31.7% poverty · this tract

7.9

Supply constraint

$829 rent vs county FMR

3.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Saginaw

8.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Saginaw

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Saginaw

9.1

How Northmoor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

96%Socioeconomic
79%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
56%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northmoor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

27.7%Housing insecurity
23.3%Utility-shutoff threat
41.0%Food insecurity
44.7%SNAP enrollment
20.1%Transit barriers
15.2%No health insurance
24.6%Frequent mental distress
44.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northmoor

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Saginaw County average of 6.1 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26145001900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26145001900?

Census tract 26145001900 in the Northmoor neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26145001900?

Median gross rent is $829/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26145001900?

31.7% of residents in tract 26145001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,640.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26145001900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 79th, minority 63th, housing 25th.

Is tract 26145001900 considered part of Northmoor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26145001900 fall within Northmoor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26145001900 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26145001900 compare to Saginaw overall?

Tract 26145001900 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Saginaw at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saginaw eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26145001900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saginaw

Top eight tracts in Saginaw ranked by composite eviction-risk score.