Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

East Dearborn Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 26163573400 · Wayne County, MI · pop 3,796 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

26163573400 is a census tract in the East Dearborn Downtown area of Dearborn, MI. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 55%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 12% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units1,412

Renter share45.7%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate33.7%

Median income$37,155

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dearborn and the region

Centroid at 42.3236, -83.1907 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Dearborn Downtown scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dearborn

7.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.9

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

33.7% poverty · this tract

8.4

Supply constraint

$2,226 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dearborn

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dearborn

6.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dearborn

8.5

How East Dearborn Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
99%Household composition
18%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
95%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Dearborn Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.2%Housing insecurity
12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
25.7%Food insecurity
28.3%SNAP enrollment
13.4%Transit barriers
10.8%No health insurance
20.6%Frequent mental distress
48.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Dearborn Downtown

Against Wayne County at 46.6%, 73% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $37,155 and the ratio lands at 72%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $2,226, 68% above the Dearborn average.

The voucher gap is 61.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10.

The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 48.6% against 31.5% nationally.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10. Against the Wayne County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Food insecurity runs 25.7% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163573400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163573400?

Census tract 26163573400 in the East Dearborn Downtown neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26163573400?

Median gross rent is $2,226/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163573400?

33.7% of residents in tract 26163573400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,796.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163573400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 99th, minority 18th, housing 98th.

Is tract 26163573400 considered part of East Dearborn Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163573400 fall within East Dearborn Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26163573400 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26163573400 compare to Dearborn overall?

Tract 26163573400 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dearborn at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dearborn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26163573400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dearborn

Top eight tracts in Dearborn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.