Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Aviation Sub Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dearborn

Tract 26163573600 · Wayne County, MI · pop 6,744 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 26163573600 in the Aviation Sub area of Dearborn, MI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Wayne County at 46.6%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 17% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units1,921

Renter share49.2%

SVI overall0.87

Poverty rate55.0%

Median income$32,926

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dearborn and the region

Centroid at 42.3424, -83.1588 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aviation Sub scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dearborn

7.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.9

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

55.0% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,081 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dearborn

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dearborn

6.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dearborn

8.5

How Aviation Sub compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
19%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
23%Grade B
25%Grade C
4%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aviation Sub. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.3%Housing insecurity
20.9%Utility-shutoff threat
37.7%Food insecurity
43.9%SNAP enrollment
19.9%Transit barriers
12.8%No health insurance
27.9%Frequent mental distress
45.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aviation Sub

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 43.9% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 55%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10.

Food insecurity runs 37.7% against 17.8% nationally. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $32,926, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10.

It sits 1.2 points above the Wayne County average of 4.6. At $1,081 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Dearborn commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163573600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163573600?

Census tract 26163573600 in the Aviation Sub neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26163573600?

Median gross rent is $1,081/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163573600?

55.0% of residents in tract 26163573600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,744.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163573600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 81th, minority 19th, housing 81th.

Is tract 26163573600 considered part of Aviation Sub?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163573600 fall within Aviation Sub (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26163573600 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26163573600 compare to Dearborn overall?

Tract 26163573600 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dearborn at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dearborn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26163573600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dearborn

Top eight tracts in Dearborn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.