Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Aviation Sub Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dearborn

Tract 26163573702 · Wayne County, MI · pop 7,871 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

26163573702 is a census tract in the Aviation Sub area of Dearborn, MI. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 7,871. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 14% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,890

Renter share37.4%

SVI overall0.77

Poverty rate33.5%

Median income$45,632

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dearborn and the region

Centroid at 42.3387, -83.1717 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aviation Sub scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Dearborn

7.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.9

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

33.5% poverty · this tract

8.4

Supply constraint

$1,341 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Dearborn

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Dearborn

6.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from Dearborn

8.5

How Aviation Sub compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
11%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
45%Grade B
54%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aviation Sub. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.5%Housing insecurity
13.9%Utility-shutoff threat
25.7%Food insecurity
27.4%SNAP enrollment
13.8%Transit barriers
9.5%No health insurance
24.7%Frequent mental distress
37.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aviation Sub

63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Wayne County average of 46.6%. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $45,632, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. SNAP participation runs 27.4% against 15.2% nationally.

Against the Wayne County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Food insecurity runs 25.7% against 17.8% nationally.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163573702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163573702?

Census tract 26163573702 in the Aviation Sub neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26163573702?

Median gross rent is $1,341/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163573702?

33.5% of residents in tract 26163573702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,871.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163573702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 78th, minority 11th, housing 76th.

Is tract 26163573702 considered part of Aviation Sub?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163573702 fall within Aviation Sub (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26163573702 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26163573702 compare to Dearborn overall?

Tract 26163573702 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dearborn at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dearborn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26163573702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dearborn

Top eight tracts in Dearborn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.