East Dearborn Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 37%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 8.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 8.5/10.

SNAP participation is 31.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.4/10.

Food insecurity affects 28.8% of adults, 11.0 points above the national rate. That places it #2 of 10 neighborhoods in Dearborn. The closest comparables inside the same city are Oakwood Heights and Aviation Sub.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 5.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.