Littlefield Eviction Risk: Moderate

The poverty rate is 47%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation is 55.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 50.0% of adults, 32.2 points above the national rate. Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.7/10.

Among the 130 mapped neighborhoods of Detroit, it ranks #72 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Conner Creek and Butler.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.6 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 5.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.