Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Scott Highlands Eviction Risk: Moderate , Apple Valley
Tract 27037060805 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,524 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
27037060805 is a census tract in the Scott Highlands area of Apple Valley, MN. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,524 residents. Cost burden runs 62% here against 45.6% across Dakota County.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,220
Renter share53.0%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$59,697
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region
Centroid at 44.7686, -93.2119 · click any tract to drill in
Why Scott Highlands scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,140 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.2
How Scott Highlands compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 272Total filings over 5 yrs
- 8.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.9%Peak (2009)
- 38Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 51% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Scott Highlands. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.8%Housing insecurity
- 13.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.1%Food insecurity
- 22.9%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 17.3%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 35.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Scott Highlands
29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,140, 34% below the Apple Valley average. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.8/10.
Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. Food insecurity runs 27.1% against 17.8% nationally.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 272 filings here across 5 tracked years.
SNAP participation runs 22.9% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2009, when 14.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 8.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060805?
Census tract 27037060805 in the Scott Highlands neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060805?
Median gross rent is $1,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060805?
13.6% of residents in tract 27037060805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,524.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 67th, minority 73th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 27037060805 considered part of Scott Highlands?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060805 fall within Scott Highlands (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060805?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 272 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060805 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.25% of renter households, peaking at 14.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27037060805 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27037060805 compare to Apple Valley overall?
Tract 27037060805 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley
Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27037060829
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Redwood
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Cedar Knolls
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Old Town
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Redwood
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Old Town
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Cedar Knolls
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Redwood
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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