Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Redwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Apple Valley
Tract 27037060824 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,667 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
27037060824 is a census tract in the Redwood area of Apple Valley, MN. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,667 residents. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Dakota County average of 45.6%.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,400
Renter share24.1%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$97,222
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region
Centroid at 44.7473, -93.2121 · click any tract to drill in
Why Redwood scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,809 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.2
How Redwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 33Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2010)
- 4Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Redwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Redwood
36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.7/10.
Food insecurity runs 8.0% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10.
The filing record is not thin: 33 evictions over 5 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 3.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060824
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060824?
Census tract 27037060824 in the Redwood neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060824?
Median gross rent is $1,809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060824?
6.8% of residents in tract 27037060824 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,667.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060824?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 24th, minority 25th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 27037060824 considered part of Redwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060824 fall within Redwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060824?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060824 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.06% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27037060824 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27037060824 compare to Apple Valley overall?
Tract 27037060824 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley
Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Scott Highlands
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060829
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Redwood
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Cedar Knolls
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Old Town
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Old Town
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Cedar Knolls
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Redwood
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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