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Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally

Old Town Eviction Risk: Lower , Apple Valley

Tract 27037060812 · Dakota County, MN · pop 6,979 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 27037060812 sits in the Old Town neighborhood of Apple Valley eviction risk, Minnesota eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. It lands near the 46th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,622 a month against an average household income of $95,842 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 10% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,311
Renter share14.8%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$95,842

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Old Town
Moderate
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 13 tracts In Apple Valley
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Elevated
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#1,148 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region

Centroid at 44.7247, -93.2316 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Town scores 2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,622 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.2

How Old Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Town risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.02.0This tracttract 060812Apple Valley: 4.94.9Apple Valleyparent cityCounty: 2.12.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 97Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.88%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak (2009)
  • 18Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270370608122009: 22 filings (6.57/100 renter HHs)2010: 19 filings (5.60/100 renter HHs)2011: 17 filings (5.23/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (6.46/100 renter HHs)2013: 18 filings (5.54/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Town

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060812

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060812?

Census tract 27037060812 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060812?

Median gross rent is $1,622/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060812?

5.5% of residents in tract 27037060812 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,979.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060812?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 91th, minority 48th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 27037060812 considered part of Old Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060812 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060812?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 97 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060812 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.88% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27037060812 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27037060812 compare to Apple Valley overall?

Tract 27037060812 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley

Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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