Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Old Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Apple Valley
Tract 27037060812 · Dakota County, MN · pop 6,979 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 27037060812 covers part of the Old Town area of Apple Valley, MN, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,311
Renter share14.8%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$95,842
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region
Centroid at 44.7247, -93.2316 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Town scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,622 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.2
How Old Town compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 97Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2009)
- 18Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.0%Food insecurity
- 7.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Town
Against Dakota County at 45.6%, 33% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.4/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10. The filing record is not thin: 97 evictions over 5 years of observation.
SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2009, when 6.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060812
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060812?
Census tract 27037060812 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060812?
Median gross rent is $1,622/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060812?
5.5% of residents in tract 27037060812 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,979.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060812?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 91th, minority 48th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 27037060812 considered part of Old Town?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060812 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060812?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 97 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060812 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.88% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27037060812 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27037060812 compare to Apple Valley overall?
Tract 27037060812 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley
Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Scott Highlands
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060829
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Redwood
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Cedar Knolls
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Old Town
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Redwood
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Cedar Knolls
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Redwood
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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