Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Cedar Knolls Eviction Risk: Moderate , Apple Valley

Tract 27037060838 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,926 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 27037060838 sits in the Cedar Knolls area of Apple Valley eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. It is home to 3,926 residents. 73% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Dakota County average of 45.6%.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 4% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units1,779

Renter share13.7%

SVI overall0.36

Poverty rate7.2%

Median income$87,253

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region

Centroid at 44.7386, -93.1622 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cedar Knolls scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Apple Valley

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

7.2% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$1,333 rent vs county FMR

2.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Apple Valley

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Apple Valley

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Apple Valley

5.2

How Cedar Knolls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

58%Socioeconomic
67%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
9%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cedar Knolls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.7%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
11.1%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
7.4%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
28.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cedar Knolls

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.8/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Average gross rent is $1,333, 23% below the Apple Valley average. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.9/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10.

SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.7 points above the Dakota County average of 4.2.

Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $87,253.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060838

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060838?

Census tract 27037060838 in the Cedar Knolls neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27037060838?

Median gross rent is $1,333/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060838?

7.2% of residents in tract 27037060838 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,926.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060838?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 67th, minority 27th, housing 9th.

Is tract 27037060838 considered part of Cedar Knolls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060838 fall within Cedar Knolls (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 27037060838 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27037060838 compare to Apple Valley overall?

Tract 27037060838 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley

Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.