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Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Apple Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27037060829 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,492

Tract 27037060829 sits in Apple Valley eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 3,492. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 14% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,683
Renter share32.6%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$88,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 13 tracts In Apple Valley
Very High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#20 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#427 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,049 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region

Centroid at 44.7258, -93.1861 · click any tract to drill in

Why Apple Valley scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,789 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.2

How Apple Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Apple Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0608294.3Apple Valleyparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 72Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2009)
  • 14Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27037060829
Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Apple Valley

Cost burden runs 57% here against 45.6% across Dakota County. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.4/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 72 filings here across 5 tracked years. Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 4.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060829

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060829?

Census tract 27037060829 in Apple Valley scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060829?

Median gross rent is $1,789/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060829?

9.8% of residents in tract 27037060829 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,492.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060829?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 39th, minority 67th, housing 12th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060829?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 72 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060829 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.32% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060829 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060829 compare to Apple Valley overall?

Tract 27037060829 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley

Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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