Old Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Apple Valley
Tract 27037060828 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,431 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 27037060828 covers part of the Old Town area of Apple Valley, MN, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,431. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region
Centroid at 44.7241, -93.2085 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Town scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Old Town compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 190Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.6%Peak (2009)
- 39Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Old Town
23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 190 filings here across 5 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 12.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters. It tracks the Dakota County average of 4.2 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 27037060828
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060828?
What is the average rent in tract 27037060828?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060828?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060828?
Is tract 27037060828 considered part of Old Town?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060828?
What share of households in tract 27037060828 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27037060828 compare to Apple Valley overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley
Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.