Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Old Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Apple Valley

Tract 27037060828 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,431 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 27037060828 covers part of the Old Town area of Apple Valley, MN, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,431. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 37% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units2,464
Renter share67.9%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$77,789

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Old Town
Very High
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In Apple Valley
Elevated
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#32 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#509 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region

Centroid at 44.7241, -93.2085 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Town scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,768 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.2

How Old Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Town risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0608284.3Apple Valleyparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 190Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.6%Peak (2009)
  • 39Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27037060828
Filings dropped 38% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Town

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 6.9/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 190 filings here across 5 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 12.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters. It tracks the Dakota County average of 4.2 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060828

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060828?

Census tract 27037060828 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060828?

Median gross rent is $1,768/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060828?

3.6% of residents in tract 27037060828 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,431.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060828?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 65th, minority 62th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 27037060828 considered part of Old Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060828 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060828?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 190 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060828 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.53% of renter households, peaking at 12.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27037060828 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27037060828 compare to Apple Valley overall?

Tract 27037060828 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley

Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related