Eviction Risk in Old Town , Apple Valley
Tract 27037060828 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,431 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 27037060828 sits in the Old Town neighborhood of Apple Valley, Minnesota. It has a population of 5,431 and an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). 46% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 23% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,768/month against a median household income of $77,789 — roughly 27% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White-Black Neighborhood — 5,679 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 7.7%
- White (non-Hispanic) 49.3%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 22%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 9.9%
- Other / Multiracial 11.2%
How the 5.6/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 6.1 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 4.3 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 5.7 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 6.1 | Apple Valley (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 6.9 | Apple Valley (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 4.6 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 6.0 | Apple Valley (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 5.2 | Apple Valley (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 1.0 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 5.5 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 190Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.6%Peak (2009)
- 39Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Town. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
About tract 27037060828
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060828?
Census tract 27037060828 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 27037060828?
Median gross rent is $1,768/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060828?
3.6% of residents in tract 27037060828 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,431.
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060828?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 65th, minority 62th, housing 81th.
Is tract 27037060828 considered part of Old Town?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060828 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060828?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 190 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060828 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.53% of renter households, peaking at 12.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 27037060828 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.