Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Burnsville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060714 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,908
For landlords sizing up Burnsville in Dakota County, census tract 27037060714 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 2% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,646 a month against an average household income of $85,833 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,980
Renter share19.7%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$85,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
National
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burnsville and the region
Centroid at 44.7769, -93.2366 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burnsville scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,646 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0
How Burnsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 69Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.3%Peak (2009)
- 7Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 71% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.2%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 30.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burnsville
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 69 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 5.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.3% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060714
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060714?
Census tract 27037060714 in Burnsville scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060714?
Median gross rent is $1,646/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060714?
11.2% of residents in tract 27037060714 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,908.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060714?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 36th, minority 56th, housing 67th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060714?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060714 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.96% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060714 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060714 compare to Burnsville overall?
Tract 27037060714 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville
Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27037060710
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27037060711
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27037060746
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060737
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Redwood
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060709
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060748
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060753
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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