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Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Burnsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27037060714 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,908

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 27037060714 in Burnsville, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,908 residents. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Dakota County average of 45.6%.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 13% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,980
Renter share19.7%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$85,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 15 tracts In Burnsville
Elevated
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#254 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#21,564 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burnsville and the region

Centroid at 44.7769, -93.2366 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burnsville scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,646 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0

How Burnsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burnsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0607144.6Burnsvilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 69Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.3%Peak (2009)
  • 7Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27037060714
Filings dropped 71% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burnsville

Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.8/10.

Court records carry 69 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10. Filings peaked in 2009 at 9.3% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $1,646, 9% above the Burnsville average. In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $85,833.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060714

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060714?

Census tract 27037060714 in Burnsville scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060714?

Median gross rent is $1,646/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060714?

11.2% of residents in tract 27037060714 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,908.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060714?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 36th, minority 56th, housing 67th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060714?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060714 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.96% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060714 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060714 compare to Burnsville overall?

Tract 27037060714 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville

Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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