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Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Burnsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27037060709 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,975

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 27037060709 in Burnsville, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,975 residents. Cost burden runs 71% here against 45.6% across Dakota County.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 6% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,020
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$95,161

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 15 tracts In Burnsville
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
High
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#311 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,808 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burnsville and the region

Centroid at 44.7591, -93.3169 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burnsville scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,447 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0

How Burnsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burnsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0607094.6Burnsvilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 174Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 7.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.6%Peak (2009)
  • 27Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27037060709
Filings dropped 40% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burnsville

31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.3 points above the Dakota County average of 4.2. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.8/10. Court records carry 174 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 11.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Average gross rent is $1,447, close to the Burnsville average. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $95,161.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060709

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060709?

Census tract 27037060709 in Burnsville scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060709?

Median gross rent is $1,447/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060709?

11.4% of residents in tract 27037060709 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,975.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060709?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 43th, minority 58th, housing 60th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060709?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 174 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060709 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.81% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060709 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060709 compare to Burnsville overall?

Tract 27037060709 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville

Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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