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Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Burnsville Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 27037060746 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,357

Census tract 27037060746 covers part of Burnsville, MN, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,357 residents. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 15% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,490
Renter share32.8%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$81,029

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 15 tracts In Burnsville
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#201 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,163 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burnsville and the region

Centroid at 44.7244, -93.2938 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burnsville scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,630 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0

How Burnsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burnsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0607464.6Burnsvilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 210Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 7.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.7%Peak (2011)
  • 46Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27037060746
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burnsville

Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. Cost burden runs 55% here against 45.6% across Dakota County.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10.

The filing record is not thin: 210 evictions over 5 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2011 at 8.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,630, close to the Burnsville average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $81,029.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060746

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060746?

Census tract 27037060746 in Burnsville scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060746?

Median gross rent is $1,630/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060746?

14.2% of residents in tract 27037060746 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,357.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060746?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 90th, minority 42th, housing 90th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060746?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 210 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060746 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.84% of renter households, peaking at 8.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060746 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060746 compare to Burnsville overall?

Tract 27037060746 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville

Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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