Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Burnsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27037060737 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,896

Census tract 27037060737 covers part of Burnsville, MN, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Dakota County average of 45.6%.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 17% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,407
Renter share43.8%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$57,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 15 tracts In Burnsville
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#224 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
National
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#19,618 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burnsville and the region

Centroid at 44.7721, -93.2719 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burnsville scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,359 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0

How Burnsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burnsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 0607374.6Burnsvilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 215Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak (2009)
  • 21Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27037060737
Filings dropped 70% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burnsville

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.4/10. Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 215 filings here across 5 tracked years. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,359, 10% below the Burnsville average. The worst year on record was 2009, when 7.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060737

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060737?

Census tract 27037060737 in Burnsville scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060737?

Median gross rent is $1,359/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060737?

5.7% of residents in tract 27037060737 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,896.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060737?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 47th, minority 42th, housing 67th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060737?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 215 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060737 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.07% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060737 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060737 compare to Burnsville overall?

Tract 27037060737 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville

Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related