Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Burnsville Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 27037060711 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,337

With a score of 6/10, tract 27037060711 in Burnsville, MN reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,337 residents. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 24% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,146
Renter share50.7%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$61,818

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 15 tracts In Burnsville
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#201 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,163 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burnsville and the region

Centroid at 44.7582, -93.2810 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burnsville scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,475 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0

How Burnsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burnsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0607114.6Burnsvilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 179Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2009)
  • 33Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27037060711
Filings dropped 34% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burnsville

Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. Against Dakota County at 45.6%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10. The filing record is not thin: 179 evictions over 5 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 4.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Burnsville eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060711

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060711?

Census tract 27037060711 in Burnsville scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060711?

Median gross rent is $1,475/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060711?

14.8% of residents in tract 27037060711 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,337.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060711?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 73th, minority 54th, housing 81th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060711?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 179 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060711 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.13% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060711 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060711 compare to Burnsville overall?

Tract 27037060711 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville

Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related