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Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Burnsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27037060710 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,413

Burnsville in Dakota County is where census tract 27037060710 sits, home to 4,413 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.1/10. That is riskier than about 78% of US census tracts.

68% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,422 a month while the average household earns $63,425 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 18% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,689
Renter share55.8%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$63,425

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 15 tracts In Burnsville
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very High
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#514 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,643 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burnsville and the region

Centroid at 44.7780, -93.3060 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burnsville scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,422 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0

How Burnsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burnsville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 060710Burnsville: 4.94.9Burnsvilleparent cityCounty: 2.12.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 234Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.7%Peak (2010)
  • 35Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270370607102009: 64 filings (9.55/100 renter HHs)2010: 67 filings (9.71/100 renter HHs)2011: 35 filings (5.24/100 renter HHs)2012: 33 filings (4.94/100 renter HHs)2013: 35 filings (5.24/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burnsville

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060710

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060710?

Census tract 27037060710 in Burnsville scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060710?

Median gross rent is $1,422/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060710?

16.6% of residents in tract 27037060710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,413.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060710?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 71th, minority 66th, housing 79th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060710?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 234 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060710 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.94% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060710 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060710 compare to Burnsville overall?

Tract 27037060710 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville

Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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