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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Scott Highlands Eviction Risk: Lower , Apple Valley

Tract 27037060805 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,524 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 27037060805 in Scott Highlands in Apple Valley ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,524 residents. That is riskier than about 68% of US census tracts.

About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,140 a month against an average household income of $59,697 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 20% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,220
Renter share53.0%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$59,697

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Scott Highlands
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 13 tracts In Apple Valley
Very High
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#19 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
High
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#790 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region

Centroid at 44.7686, -93.2119 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scott Highlands scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,140 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.2

How Scott Highlands compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Scott Highlands risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 060805Apple Valley: 4.94.9Apple Valleyparent cityCounty: 2.12.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 272Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 8.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.9%Peak (2009)
  • 38Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270370608052009: 77 filings (14.92/100 renter HHs)2010: 76 filings (12.22/100 renter HHs)2011: 48 filings (5.70/100 renter HHs)2012: 33 filings (3.92/100 renter HHs)2013: 38 filings (4.51/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 51% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scott Highlands. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scott Highlands

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 272 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 8.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.9% of renter households in 2009.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060805

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060805?

Census tract 27037060805 in the Scott Highlands neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060805?

Median gross rent is $1,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060805?

13.6% of residents in tract 27037060805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,524.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060805?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 67th, minority 73th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 27037060805 considered part of Scott Highlands?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060805 fall within Scott Highlands (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060805?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 272 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060805 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.25% of renter households, peaking at 14.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27037060805 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27037060805 compare to Apple Valley overall?

Tract 27037060805 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley

Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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