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Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Argonne Eviction Risk: Lower , Lakeville

Tract 27037060813 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,008 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 27037060813 belongs to Argonne in Lakeville, Minnesota. It is home to 5,008 residents and scores 5.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 61st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,835 monthly, set against $130,707 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 8% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,966
Renter share15.9%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$130,707

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Argonne
Very Low
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 14 tracts In Lakeville
Low
Within county
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#104 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#1,413 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeville and the region

Centroid at 44.7035, -93.2991 · click any tract to drill in

Why Argonne scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,835 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeville
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeville
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeville
4.9

How Argonne compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Argonne risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 060813Lakeville: 4.94.9Lakevilleparent cityCounty: 2.12.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 111Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 15.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.7%Peak (2011)
  • 14Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270370608132009: 28 filings (39.88/100 renter HHs)2010: 21 filings (8.79/100 renter HHs)2011: 31 filings (13.72/100 renter HHs)2012: 17 filings (7.52/100 renter HHs)2013: 14 filings (6.19/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Argonne. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Argonne

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060813

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060813?

Census tract 27037060813 in the Argonne neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060813?

Median gross rent is $1,835/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060813?

3.1% of residents in tract 27037060813 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,008.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060813?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 82th, minority 35th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 27037060813 considered part of Argonne?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060813 fall within Argonne (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060813?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 111 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060813 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.22% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27037060813 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27037060813 compare to Lakeville overall?

Tract 27037060813 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lakeville at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeville

Top eight tracts in Lakeville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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