Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060836 ·
Dakota County, MN · pop 5,270
Census tract 27037060836 covers part of Lakeville, MN, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,270. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 11%Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,058
Renter share22.7%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$107,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
77th percentile
#4 of 14 tracts In Lakeville
High
Within county
38th percentile
#66 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Low
Within state
39th percentile
#913 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
National
36th percentile
#54,273 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeville and the region
Centroid at 44.6419, -93.2354 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeville scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,686 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeville
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeville
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeville
4.9
How Lakeville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.4%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
9.6%Food insecurity
6.4%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
7.1%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
24.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakeville
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Against Dakota County at 45.6%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060836
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060836?
Census tract 27037060836 in Lakeville scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060836?
Median gross rent is $1,686/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060836?
3.0% of residents in tract 27037060836 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,270.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060836?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 39th, minority 53th, housing 58th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27037060836 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27037060836 compare to Lakeville overall?
Tract 27037060836 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Lakeville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeville
Top eight tracts in Lakeville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.